Evaluation methodology selection wizard
Methodology finder – Fiscal and tariffs – All sectors
Available policy / sector / method combinations described in specific evaluation guides
- Econometric modelling [GUIDE 21]
The econometric method is a top-down simulation using econometric models. An econometric model specifies the relationship that is believed to hold between the various economic quantities related to a particular economic phenomenon, in this particular case energy savings. To apply the econometric method, a detailed econometric model with access to a regularly updated database is required and is also a prerequisite for the use of this method, as setting up such a detailed economic model is a significant effort. The model provides a regression analysis of energy use over time that explains the energy consumption as a result of different drivers: GDP change, activity level, energy savings etc. - Econometric / price elasticity [GUIDE 22]
The amount of energy consumed will depend, among other things, on the price of energy. A higher price will make it more attractive to invest into more efficient energy-using systems or stimulate more conscious behaviour related to energy use. The introduction of a tax on energy will lead to a higher price and thus to a lower consumption level, i.e. savings on energy consumption. The ratio between the relative increase in the price and the relative decrease in energy demand is called the price-elasticity. Given the tax level and the elasticity value the method provides the total saving due to the tax.
Evaluation methodology comparison table
Evaluation method | Pros & cons | Method characteristics | Required input data | |||||||
Pro | Con | Savings output | Aggregation level | Application (ex-ante/ex-post) | Energy use before and after actions | Number of energy saving actions | Energy saved per action | Normalisation factors | Gross-to-net adjustments | |
Econometric modelling | Explanation of relations | Possibly missing factors | Total savings | Top-down | Ex-post only | For (sub)sector | Depends on case | Depends on case | For behaviour, temperature, activity level | No (if covered in method) |
Econometric – Price elasticity | Simple (only price) | Situation dependent | Total savings | Top-down | Ex-ante and ex-post | For (sub)sector | No (included in total savings) | No (included in total savings) | No (method on normalised case) | E.g. double counting |